Present fertilizer industry in Turkey and its demend analysis

Abstract

In the economic and soaial development of Turkey the importance of Agricultural Sector is well known. The contribution of agricultural sector, which has high development potential in solving economic and social problems of the country, creating income and employment, value-added, rural development, preventing migration to big cities is no doubt considerable. So the portion of agricultural sector in the fifth planned program must be longer than previous ones. Solutions to the problem of the sector with a precedence is required. Therefore one of the problems to be solved of the sector is the use of fertilizer and fertilizer industry. By the above mentioned reason the author has chosen the fertilizer industry and its demand analysis as a subject of study. Chapter one gives purpose, content and methodology of the stUdy. Chapter two gives developments in the Turkish fertilizer industry, present producers, then problems and suggested solutions to these problems. Chapter three gives demand analysis performed by several institutions. Chapter four examines the demand by regression analysis method, states a demand model and the demand projection according to the stated model. Chapter five summarizes the findings of the study and states conclusions and implications. We conclude that; the future domestic fertilizer demand can not be satisfied by the domestic production possibilities, and the importation is indispensable. Realistic and permanant solutions must be found for the problems such as new production plant, must be established and state investments must be managed under stability and accelerated, private sector must be oriented towards fertilizer industry by giving incentives and finally necessary precautions must be taken for raw material problem.